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Joe public betting trends

In this article, we take a step back and look at what an actual risk manager at a sportsbook might feel. The information on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Use of this information in violation of any federal, state, or local laws is prohibited. For point-spread sports, the odds are generally around or The bets are evenly balanced so the sportsbook collects the vig with no risk. The sportsbook has a nicely balanced book of business. In the examples above, we show perfect scenarios for the sportsbooks.

In real-life, it is difficult for the sportsbooks to perfectly balance the risk on every single bet they take. However, there is one sure thing that rings true: human nature. Bettors have certain tendencies. For instance, on average, bettors like to take favorites. Sportsbooks can use these biases to shade their lines and increase their profit margins. For the purposes of this table, we assumed all bets are the same size. As you can see in Table 1, above, there is a strong incentive for sportsbooks to shade lines, based on their experience with bettors and human nature.

These moves are called steam moves, which are rapid changes in a betting market due to heavy action. These moves, especially when the odds are first released, are caused by sharp betting action. This can be highly effective if you understand betting markets and has caused many bettors to be banned or limited.

Sharp bettors are the largest worry for the oddsmakers and moving a market drastically puts them into a potential nightmare scenario where they can be arbitraged and lose both sides of a market. With all that said, there is still some value in looking at public betting percentages. At this point, there are several industry that post public betting percentages on their sites.

Many offshore online sportsbooks also do the same. This illustrates how insignificant some bookmakers feel about handicappers who use public betting percentages. Another factor at play here is what the information truly means and if it can be trusted. Furthermore, after a single line move, the action will once again change based on how the market moved.

For our money, the best two sites for public betting percentages are PreGame. Sports Insights has a slight edge because their product is a little more aesthetically pleasing and organized. Where do they get their betting percentages? Sports Insights lists them on their FAQ.

One of easiest ways to spot sharp action and benefit from line movement is in the situation of reverse line movement. Reverse line movement is easiest to spot during NFL contests as the betting takes about week between games, but can also be utilized in every sport. Using public betting percentages we can see where most of the action is going on a specific contest. In many cases, the action will be heavily lopsided. This is especially common with favorites. However, despite these percentages, the odds have moved in the other opposite direction of the seemingly lopsided action on the Steelers.

This is a situation where bettors can find an advantage by following the sharp betting action. When it comes to bonuses, payout options and speeds, and betting limits — SportsBetting. Their payouts are fast, and they accept accounts from all 50 U. They can be useful, but as is the case with just about everything in sports betting, getting the best price on a market and beating the closing line is much more valuable than looking for spots to go against the public.

Keep in mind, there are plenty of instances where the public and sharp bettors are on the same page. Both the squares and the sharps will bet one side and the odds will shift in that direction.

THREE MAN GOLF BETTING GAMES FOR LARGE

Use of this information in violation of any federal, state, or local laws is prohibited. For point-spread sports, the odds are generally around or The bets are evenly balanced so the sportsbook collects the vig with no risk. The sportsbook has a nicely balanced book of business.

In the examples above, we show perfect scenarios for the sportsbooks. In real-life, it is difficult for the sportsbooks to perfectly balance the risk on every single bet they take. However, there is one sure thing that rings true: human nature. Bettors have certain tendencies. For instance, on average, bettors like to take favorites. Sportsbooks can use these biases to shade their lines and increase their profit margins.

For the purposes of this table, we assumed all bets are the same size. As you can see in Table 1, above, there is a strong incentive for sportsbooks to shade lines, based on their experience with bettors and human nature. For example, we know that many bettors prefer to bet on favorites. The sportsbooks know that the betting public will lean to the popular teams and heavy favorites.

Joe has been with OddsShark for three years and is always focused on the games within the game. His betting philosophy is to reduce risk as much as possible and to trust the numbers more than the athlete's producing those numbers. Joe Osborne Mon, Feb 8, pm. Joe Osborne Thu, Feb 4, pm.

Joe Osborne Tue, Feb 2, pm. Joe Osborne Sun, Jan 24, am. Joe Osborne Sun, Jan 17, am. Joe Osborne Thu, Jan 7, pm. Joe Osborne Tue, Dec 29, am. Joe Osborne Wed, Nov 25, am. Joe Osborne Thu, Nov 12, pm. Joe Osborne Thu, Oct 1, am. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country.

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The information on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Use of this information in violation of any federal, state, or local laws is prohibited. For point-spread sports, the odds are generally around or The bets are evenly balanced so the sportsbook collects the vig with no risk.

The sportsbook has a nicely balanced book of business. In the examples above, we show perfect scenarios for the sportsbooks. In real-life, it is difficult for the sportsbooks to perfectly balance the risk on every single bet they take. However, there is one sure thing that rings true: human nature. Bettors have certain tendencies. For instance, on average, bettors like to take favorites.

Sportsbooks can use these biases to shade their lines and increase their profit margins. For the purposes of this table, we assumed all bets are the same size. As you can see in Table 1, above, there is a strong incentive for sportsbooks to shade lines, based on their experience with bettors and human nature. For example, we know that many bettors prefer to bet on favorites.

Conversely, less desirable teams are often undervalued to make them a more attractive betting proposition. One effective strategy is to find situations where losing teams have a winning pointspread record. Some teams play better than you'd expect when stepping up in class against elite level franchises. Mediocre teams will often 'take out their frustrations' on weaker teams. Many teams 'bring their A game' when playing on nationally televised games on ESPN - particularly prime time games.

The use of NFL football betting trends in handicapping is limited only by your imagination. No matter what strategy you employ, you can find all of the trends and statistics you need at Sportsbook. All your account login details remain unchanged. You have unread messages in your inbox. View Messages Logout.

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Some teams suck in prime time stand alone games, while others shine ATS, your job as a serious player is to find out just who that is. The best scenario is a team great in that "spot" vs one that sucks. Some teams are weak heading into a bye week, they are more into what we they did than the task at hand, while others want to put the coachs at ease by having a win before time off.

Some suck coming off a bye while others come out swinging, you need to find out who this is. A guy I thought it over, bought a magazine by Marc Lawrence and a book by Wayne Allyn Root and starting studying what I needed to know. Lost a few hundred my first year, won a few hundred my second season, then starting rolling once I figured out when to load up on a play, losing on but winning on Joe Public gets none of that, and really don't care.

You start explaining the fundamentals involved with serious ATS wagering ya get eye rolls and The Colts showed up and I failed to pick up on that aspect of it all. The real play was a pass because of the elements. Just like the Pats vs Chiefs is a pass, it's going to be something like 20 degrees.

Azcards alias? I really didn't want to bump this thread but I think historical trends mean squat when betting individual games. People will leave and then come back under a different name. Azcards would post gambling stuff then go back and edit his original post when he was wrong. Long story short, he posted this some time ago and the stock market then went on to double it's value. I don't think your an alias. Lhucks was banned-He deserved it.

Azcards left quite a while ago. He threads were fun to read if you like train wrecks. You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account. Restore formatting. Only 75 emoji are allowed. Display as a link instead.

Clear editor. Upload or insert images from URL. Injury News Dr. Jene Bramel's Second Opinion. See Your Team Rules. Reply to this topic Start new topic. Recommended Posts. ZenoRazon Posted January 13, Posted January 13, edited. Link to post Share on other sites. Replies Created 2 yr Last Reply 2 yr.

Top Posters In This Topic 86 12 12 Octopus 12 posts nightmare 11 posts. Popular Posts Dr. Octopus January 13, Irrelevant January 13, CalBear January 7, DocHolliday 3, Posted January 13, Posted January 13, Slider Posted January 13, Then there's Then there's: Foolish gamblers never stop. Ilov80s 29, Posted January 13, ZenoRazon Posted January 14, Posted January 14, Posted January 14, edited. What is funny with football fans is that game to game week to week thing. They won the Superbowl that season.

This season it's been Gronk is done. Edelman just a shell of himself. Father time is kicking Tom Brady. The dynasty is dead. The Chargers are red hot Philip Rivers is smokin' All that west coast team on the east coast in the cold won;t work on these Chargers.

Edited January 14, by ZenoRazon. Posted January 16, Who do you like this week, and break it down ZenoRazon Posted January 16, Posted January 16, edited. But if it;s going to be Starting now this thread will be about just random whatever. Edited January 16, by ZenoRazon. Metcalf footage was great. I remember both. Reveal hidden contents. Wiki His parents divorced in while he was attending Valley High School in Albuquerque, and in , he moved to San Diego with his father.

Foster was one of the most interesting athletes in the modern era of sports that I've seen. I knew that, just wanted you to see his story. Yes, he was very interesting and curious about what he;s doing now. That Bush clip is sick, by the way. My favorite is from about He looks like an arcade game. There is another guy similiar to him named Dominique Dorsey,.

I remember Dorsey, actually. You grew up in Nevada? Tulare is in central Cali between Bakersfield and Fresno. I'm in the Inland Empire, too, but further south by far. I'm really not sure. I'm a CT transplant. Woods out of Fresno. Tulare a good 45 miles north of Bakersfield so..? Have no idea how any of this works do ya slugger? Don't act like some know nothing, ok little fella? Everybody was on Colts plus the number that was the play.

So what went wrong Octopus 15, Posted January 16, Octopus said:. What do I know now? Most people are like me. They lose more than what they gained. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. OddsShark does not target an audience under the age of Please visit gambleaware.

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Bet On It - Week 9 NFL Picks and Predictions, Vegas Odds, Line Moves, Barking Dogs, and Best Bets

Point Spread The number of points a team is expected to win or lose by. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as joe public betting trends vary from state to state, joe public betting trends to province and country to country. PARAGRAPHLouis Rams in Week 8 while failing to cover as Double-digit chalk went ATS during that span - not exactly what you would call a safe bet. The handicapping, sports odds information any law or statute is for entertainment purposes only. Matthew Trebby Feb 10, Bucks. Top sides for percentage of team in college football. Hawaii may be the worst. Top sides for percentage of. Betting Read the article. Using this information to contravene.

Who Does the Public Like? The following feature monitors wagering activity at many of the largest online sportsbooks. These "betting percentages" represent. Fading the public means betting against the public opinion. noting that the average sports bettors today is much smarter than “Joe Public” was ten years ago​. The bookies, take this much more serious than public betting trends and have​. Follow Joe on Twitter @JTFOZ for free picks, interesting trends and stats, all mixed in with some complete and utter foolishness. NBA 1st Quarter &.