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However, this quarter is so weak that his odds have been placed in a spot that, in my opinion, makes him completely unplayable. Especially for someone who has shown he can struggle against big servers, I think these odds are a little too low for me to get any action on. He seems to always underachieve in big tournaments and crush when the pressure is off. His form to start the year has also been awful, going at the ATP Cup and getting crushed by Tsitsipas and Shapovalov.
His draw is about as cushy as it could be until he has to face Goffin or Rublev in the round of If there were ever a time for him to make a run, it feels like this is it. The second half of the draw is at least a little more interesting because everyone here gets to avoid Djokovic until the final. Sadly this quarter is devoid of too many interesting plays. Last week he made it through Cincinnati qualifying, won his first-round match and took Berrettini to the absolute limit in the second round.
The top half of this quarter is extremely weak outside of Berrettini, and I see some value here. We can always hedge if he somehow makes it to face Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinal. Medvedev here is appropriately lined to me as the second-biggest favorite in the tournament. He is a no-play for me. I mentioned above that Tsitsipas has looked the closest of the next generation to winning a major. However, the U. Open and Wimbledon have both given him a lot of trouble.
As for the other top seed in this quarter, Roberto Bautista-Agut looked good in Cincinnati but got a tricky draw with a first-round matchup against Tennys Sandgren, then Miomir Kecmanovic and a white-hot Raonic. I can definitely see early exits for both of the top seeds in this quarter, meaning we should be able to find a lot of value.
Speaking of Raonic, he played probably the best tennis of his life at Cincinnati. This time he actually managed to come back against Krajinovic and then upset Tsitsipas in the semifinal. And he really should have beaten Djokovic in the finals but came up just short.
I tend to agree, and I like backing him to win both the quarter and the outright. I am once again backing Auger-Aliassime as a long-shot bet to win a quarter and an outright. My pick: Djokovic def. Zverev, Raonic def. Djokovic outright however many units you feel comfortable betting. Raonic 5. She got dunked on as a big favorite against Veronika Kudermetova in the first round of Cincinnati and committed a ton of double faults in the match, showing her rust.
Bellis was a top-tier prospect just a couple of years ago but suffered a nasty elbow injury and has been out of play for the better part of two years. The bottom half of this quarter is wide open. This is another wide-open quarter. Then the WTA announced they would also pause the tournament on Thursday and play semifinals on Friday, inviting Osaka back.
This quarter is all about the top two seeds in Madison Keys and Serena Williams. Both have the history, the pedigree and the game to cruise through this tournament and claim another major title. Both also have a ton of questions around their form and health.
In Lexington she played two grueling matches against Bernarda Pera and sister Venus Williams before losing to Shelby Rogers in the quarters. She was clearly hurt; after the match she said she was struggling with cramps and was serving the ball like a slow pitch softball to Sakkari.
However, while she has the capability of chasing down everything, she also possesses a lot of power that she usually struggles to harness. I also like the narrative of fit players having an advantage in a tournament of this length occurring right after the longest break of tennis in many years.
Perusers of the Tennis channel in Awesemo. Her matches are also usually a blast to watch. My model also likes Azarenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova. Alexandrova has the capability of blowing any opponent she faces off the court and is certainly capable of making a deep run. She reached the final here in and the semis in In , , and she made the last Few players hit the ball harder than Keys, whose powerful groundstrokes can win her almost any match.
Keys won in fast conditions in Cincinnati last season and also made the final in Brisbane earlier this. With the many question marks surrounding those towards the top of the Futures market, this tournament provides the outsiders with a real shot at glory.
A characteristic I want from any underdog on my ticket is a proven ability to beat elite players and Ons Jabeur certainly has that. There was also a narrow defeat to world number two Simona Halep in Dubai, the African losing in the final set. Since the tour resumed there have also been last-eight runs in both Lexington and New York with Keys among those beaten.
Kristyna Pliskova, the twin sister of top seed Karolina, looks capable of causing an upset in the first round of the US Open. She takes on 18th seed Donna Vekic, who has beaten just two top players this year and over the past 12 months has posted a pretty miserable win-loss record at tour level. Pliskova, who made the semi-finals of the hardcourt event in Shenzhen at the start of the season, returned to action earlier this month on clay and immediately claimed the notable scalps of both Petra Martic and Maria Sakkari.
Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket. Madison Keys can deliver success for the host nation In-form Ons Jabeur a lively outsider Seed Donna Vekic looks vulnerable to first-round upset. She looks worth a wager in an event that should provide plenty of shocks. Box Clever With Jabeur With the many question marks surrounding those towards the top of the Futures market, this tournament provides the outsiders with a real shot at glory.
That delivery will be aided by the slick courts on show at Flushing Meadows this year.